Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI

Can we rightly guess the future ... of AI? Let's see how things will turn out to be. Below is a paper that surveys AI authors' opinions on the future of AI.

[2401.02843] Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI (arxiv.org)

I like this survey, as it provides (precise) probabilities of these deep future possibilities concerning AI development. So somehow we can calculate expected utility to make moral/policy decisions --- I am not kidding! What else can we do?