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Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI

Can we rightly guess the deep future concerning AI?

Maomei

Can we rightly guess the future ... of AI? Let's see how things will turn out to be. Below is a paper that surveys AI authors' opinions on the future of AI.

[2401.02843] Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI (arxiv.org)

I like this survey, as it provides (precise) probabilities of these deep future possibilities concerning AI development. So somehow we can calculate expected utility to make moral/policy decisions --- I am not kidding! What else can we do?


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